Is AI replacing jobs or just tasks?
At this stage, AI isn’t eliminating jobs outright, but it’s taking over a lot of individual tasks for many people – often without managers even knowing. For instance, McKinsey reports that up to 30% of work hours could be automated by 2030, mainly due to generative AI. But the firm says: “We see generative AI enhancing the way STEM, creative, business and legal professionals work, rather than eliminating a significant number of jobs outright.”
The International Labour Organization (ILO) agrees, stating that AI will likely improve jobs by automating specific tasks, particularly in fields like clerical work. The main challenge for workers will probably be adapting to new job activities rather than worrying about widespread job loss. “The greatest impact of this technology is likely to not be job destruction, but rather the potential changes to the quality of jobs, notably work intensity and autonomy,” the ILO says.
While AI is automating more routine tasks, the broader impact has been about changing how work gets done, rather than cutting positions. But as employers gain more visibility into how AI is being used, that could change.
We know that many workers are using AI tools discreetly to boost their productivity, allowing them to accomplish more without their company requiring fewer employees. It’s entirely possible that this may have delayed direct job losses, particularly in white-collar sectors.
The productivity boosts in professions like marketing are already hard to ignore, and it’s likely that as AI becomes more mainstream, we’ll see shifts in workforce dynamics. In marketing, some companies are seeing big improvements, such as a 40% increase in response rates and a 25% reduction in deployment costs when using AI for targeted marketing efforts, says McKinsey.
In response, some employers are tightening controls on AI. Large companies like Apple, Spotify, Verizon, and Samsung have either banned or placed strict limits on how their employees can use generative AI tools at work. On the other hand, some organizations are embracing AI more openly.
Deloitte, for example, is introducing a generative AI chatbot to 75,000 employees across Europe and the Middle East. The tool is designed to help with tasks like creating PowerPoint presentations, writing emails, and coding to boost productivity.
But only 21% of companies have clear policies for how employees should use generative AI, according to McKinsey, typically focused on reducing risks like data inaccuracy and cybersecurity issues.
The challenge for firms is that AI is advancing so quickly that it’s becoming harder and harder to tell what work is human-generated and what isn’t. As a result, it’s tough for managers to accurately assess the contributions of their employees when AI can do tasks just as well, if not better, than humans.
According to the Stanford Institute for Human-Centered Artificial Intelligence, AI has outperformed humans in tasks like image recognition, visual reasoning, and understanding English. However, it still struggles with more complex challenges, such as advanced math, common-sense reasoning, and planning.