In an era of rising economic nationalism and intensifying rivalries, business leaders with extensive cross-border operations must develop sharper agility and foresight. Their ability to make informed decisions in this volatile environment hinges on the strength of their so-called geopolitical radar – their capacity to effectively track and proactively assess these shifting dynamics.

This requires a fundamental shift in mindset from relying on backward-looking, experience-driven assessments of geopolitical risks to embracing a more forward-looking tracking of geopolitical dynamics, combined with rigorous scenario planning.

This white paper, the result of collaboration between IMD, Boston Consulting Group and the World Economic Forum, provides a status report on how firms are enhancing their detection, understanding and assessment of the many geopolitical factors that have emerged over the past decade.