In an era of rising economic nationalism and intensifying rivalries, business leaders with extensive cross-border operations must develop sharper agility and foresight. Their ability to make informed decisions in this volatile environment hinges on the strength of their so-called geopolitical radar – their capacity to effectively track and proactively assess these shifting dynamics.
This requires a fundamental shift in mindset from relying on backward-looking, experience-driven assessments of geopolitical risks to embracing a more forward-looking tracking of geopolitical dynamics, combined with rigorous scenario planning.
This white paper, the result of collaboration between IMD, Boston Consulting Group and the World Economic Forum, provides a status report on how firms are enhancing their detection, understanding and assessment of the many geopolitical factors that have emerged over the past decade.
To navigate this turbulence, business leaders must decentralize operations, plan for worst‑case scenarios, and embrace the new world order.
Competitiveness is shifting toward controlled systems where technological mastery drives power. But efficiency gains may come at the cost of democracy.
Latin America’s largest economy by GDP needs a multi-pronged approach addressing fragile governance, deep inequality, and uneven institutions.
In a fracturing world, ‘corporate statecraft’ is essential. Your home country’s reputation directly impacts regulatory ease, consumer trust, and overall market access. Leaders should tailor corporate identity to individual markets, say Marcus Burke and Trent Ross
A new generation of scenario-monitoring tools such as the Iran Conflict Scenario Monitor can bring structure, transparency, and continuous updating to expert assessments.
The great-power rivalry between China and the US is structural, not an aberration: zero-sum thinking, tech rivalry, and weaponized trade will outlast leaders and reshape business.
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