Building an awareness of self
It is ‘confirmation bias’ that I dissect in this article. But rather than refer to agreement with a chair or fellow directors, in this context, it relates to the human instinct to try and corroborate our own hypothesis, searching only for evidence that supports our theory. What we should be doing, however, is searching for information that disconfirms it.
Picture this: a new CEO candidate is being shortlisted, and your gut is telling you no. You’re not sure why, maybe it is a repeated phrase on their CV, the way they speak about a recent business transformation, a physical prejudice, or an environmental factor around you. Maybe it was your journey into work clouding decision-making and ultimately, making optimism for new ideas, strategies, or people seem unlikely for the day. Maybe they remind you of a former colleague, one that you simply wouldn’t work with again. Now think about your next steps. You cannot yet voice your concerns because you do not have a legitimate reason to dismiss the candidate, so you look for evidence. But rather than searching for red flags, horror stories in the lines of this candidate’s CV, or unreliable references, what you should be looking for is reasons why you are wrong.
You must probe and investigate your bias to discover why you feel the way you do and try to find evidence that refutes it. This requires self-exploration – analyzing your own decision-making style and the steps taken to reach it. You must go against the grain of your own pre-judgment and, in the instance of a red flag candidate, search for stories in their previous business transformations that provide evidence that your bias is unfounded, rather than instances that support it. For investments in industries or regions you deem to be unstable, you could look for precedents and returns, for acquisitions, good press, as well as bad, that shed a different light on these industries and regions.
If you find this evidence, you must separate your former opinion from fact and have the emotional intelligence, maturity, and moral judgment to accept the decision. If you do not, however, find anything that disproves your bias, it could be a startling example of heuristics and how bias can be one of the most valuable intuitions in board members.