Value discipline in the energy transition
These principles also shape how Woodside approaches one of the challenges defining the sector: the shift toward lower-carbon energy systems.
In common with many other energy companies, Woodside is simultaneously pursuing several pathways. The business continues to invest in oil and gas, while also progressing new energy opportunities, including carbon capture and storage and lower-carbon ammonia.
All these investments are measured against a capital-allocation framework that divides the portfolio into three broad categories: oil, gas and new energy products, and lower-carbon services. Each has different return expectations. Oil projects, for example, are expected to deliver faster payback and higher returns.
“In the context of oil, we want a payback [period] of less than five years and we want a 15% IRR [internal rate of return],” Tiver says.
Gas projects are evaluated based on a slightly longer timeframe. Because Woodside expects natural gas to play an important role in the energy mix for years to come, the company is prepared to accept lower returns and longer payback periods.
“We see gas as a critical part of the energy transition,” Tiver explains. “The nature of gas investment is that we will accept a 12% IRR and a payback of seven years.”
New energy investments reflect the realities of emerging markets, where commercial models are still evolving. “New energy is an emerging market. It’s tough, to be frank,” he says. “But we look at [a payback period] of 10 years, and an IRR of around 10%.”
The framework reflects a pragmatic view of the energy transition. While decarbonization remains a priority, energy security is an increasingly prominent concern.
“When we talk to our customers, we see more and more focus on energy stability and energy security,” Tiver says. “Lowering emissions is still very important, but it’s happening alongside some of the geopolitical volatility we’re seeing.”
“Gas is critical to balancing and stabilizing renewables in the energy mix,” he says. “Studies have shown that when used to generate electricity, gas produces roughly half the lifecycle emissions of coal, and it’s something you can turn on and off quickly to help balance the network.”