AI is everywhere – where are the profits?
Companies are spending billions on artificial intelligence. But are they making any money from it? IMD's Karl Schmedders on hidden costs, vibe coding and how companies can turn AI into business value....
by Howard H. Yu Published October 27, 2026 in Strategy • 8 min read • Audio available
For around 30 laps, Fernando Alonso had been watching Sergio Pérez in his mirrors. This was Interlagos, in São Paulo, in November 2023, at the Brazilian Grand Prix. Alonso, aged 42, was driving a green Aston Martin and holding third place. Pérez, in a faster Red Bull, inched closer with every lap. With two laps to go, Pérez went down the inside into the first corner, rear wing open for the extra speed that the rules allow when you are close enough.
“OK, this is gone,” thought Alonso at that moment. But he was wrong. On the last lap, PĂ©rez braked too late into the first corner and missed the apex by about a meter. Alonso retook third on the outside.Â
They ran neck and neck down the final straight. Alonso clinched third in a photo finish. The gap was 0.053 seconds. Afterward, PĂ©rez put a hand on Alonso’s shoulder, and the two hugged. It was Alonso’s eighth podium of the year, and his last.Â
During my summer break, I got to gawp at that very car at the Petersen Automotive Museum in Los Angeles in an exhibition covering a hundred years of Aston Martin. The title on the wall read “Performance & Prestige.” Up close, it does not really look like a car. Every panel is pulled tight – like a sprinter, all muscle and sinew. Â
Aston Martin started out as a racing outfit in 1913. Co-founder Lionel Martin raced at Aston Hill, a steep course in the English countryside. Underwhelmed with the available cars, he and partner Robert Bamford decided to make their own. In 1959, Aston Martin finished first and second at Le Mans. Five years later, the Aston Martin DB5 made its debut in the James Bond movie Goldfinger.Â
At the Petersen, I reflected on how Aston Martin was born out of the need to prove something: excellence matters in both results and engineering. Farther along on its brand journey, Aston Martin earned its iconic status through film. Racing gave it credibility, and Bond gave it glamour. Once I recognized this evolution, I began to see the same story throughout the museum. Then I started seeing it beyond the auto business, too.Â
In 1960, Jacques Piccard and Don Walsh took the Trieste submarine to the bottom of the Mariana Trench, an experimental Rolex Deep Sea Special strapped to the outside. Trieste descended 10,916 meters (nearly 36,000 feet) and the watch came back working. Piccard sent Rolex a message. The watch, he said, “works as well at 11,000 meters as it does on the surface.”
Rolex had climbed the most challenging mountains too. The 1953 Everest expedition team wore Oyster Perpetual watches at the highest point on earth. These are ridiculous capabilities for an ordinary customer. Nobody wearing a Rolex to dinner in Geneva needs to explore oceans or scale the Himalayas. But the thought lingers in the owner’s mind.Â
The company also built watches for racing drivers. The Cosmograph Daytona became synonymous with motor racing and worked its way onto the big screen when actor and race car driver Paul Newman first wore it in James Goldstone’s film Winning. Newman continued wearing it throughout his racing career.
That is how watches entered popular culture. Rolex ran its engineering tests in public, let explorers supply the drama, and went on to establish Rolex as a symbol of reliability: something that works even in the most challenging conditions.Â
On, the Swiss running company, has followed a similar playbook. Olivier Bernhard, a retired triathlete, wanted a shoe that landed differently, so he glued pieces of garden hose to the bottom of a pair of shoes. The prototype won an industry award in 2010. The runner’s need to improve performance came first. Then, to Bernhard’s irritation, people started wearing On shoes with jeans. Co-founder Caspar Coppetti remembers thinking, “It’s like buying a Porsche and going shopping.” The extreme performance of On running shoes had entered the public consciousness: what was once meant for cutting-edge athletes was being adopted by couch potatoes.
Roger Federer joined On in 2019, not as a spokesperson but as what On calls a co-entrepreneur, taking an equity stake to work on a tennis shoe. The glamour arrived attached to a technical project. Last year, On passed CHF 3bn ($3.75bn).Â
First comes the performance, then the proof in front of witnesses. Then comes glamour, lifestyle, and memory – only at the very end does a cultural phenomenon emerge.Â
The Petersen houses another car that shows what happens when a company tries to run this playbook backward, style before proof: the 1954 Chevrolet Corvette. It looks fast. Low fiberglass body, whitewall tires, chrome teeth in the grille. But its measly 150-horsepower six-cylinder engine and two-speed automatic failed to meet buyer expectations. Sales dragged until Chevrolet put in a V8 and restyled the car. Only then did it become the Corvette Americans remember. Style cannot arrive before the evidence of performance. And that is what a brand is in the end: performance remembered.
Style cannot arrive before the evidence of performance. And that is what a brand is in the end: performance remembered.
Shortly before my visit, the Petersen opened an exhibition entitled World’s Fastest. One wall traces the production-car speed record after the Second World War. The museum explains why top speed mattered. It gave enthusiasts a number they could use to judge performance. It gave the winner prestige. It’s full of familiar names: Jaguar XK120, Lamborghini Miura, McLaren F1, and Bugatti Veyron. The last is the SSC Tuatara, which recorded a two-way average of 282.9 mph in 2021. Then, the wall ends.Â
In September 2025, on a test track in Papenburg, Germany, a car from China reached 496.22 km/h, or 308 mph. It was the Yangwang U9 Xtreme, an electric vehicle. Yangwang is the luxury arm of BYD, a Shenzhen company that began by making rechargeable batteries.Â
Car enthusiasts will immediately point out an important detail: the BYD run was one-way. The traditional record requires two runs in opposing directions to cancel out wind and the incline. By that measure, the Tuatara still holds the record, and the museum’s wall is not wrong.Â
Of course, whoever holds the record owns a piece of every fan’s imagination. For 70 years, the winners were Jaguar, Lamborghini, McLaren, and Bugatti. The next name on that wall may well be a battery company from Shenzhen.Â
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For most of automotive history, the magic words were cylinders, displacement, turbochargers, and gearboxes. Increasingly, they have become battery chemistry, cooling, electric motors, software, and control systems. The stopwatch still measures speed, but the engineers behind these record-breaking cars are solving different problems to find that extra yard of pace.
People will not suddenly stop loving old cars, but as electric vehicles move performance toward batteries, software, and control systems, the incumbents will have to redefine why customers should choose them.
A machine for telling the time became a piece of mechanical art.
The watch industry knows how this goes. For generations, the purpose of a watch was obvious: tell the time reliably. Then quartz made accurate timekeeping cheap.Â
Quartz, an inexpensive crystal that keeps near-perfect time, arrived at the end of the 1960s and made accuracy something anyone could buy. The damage was severe. Employment in the Swiss watch industry fell from roughly 90,000 people in 1970 to just over 30,000 by 1984. In the decades since, hundreds of Swiss watchmakers have disappeared. The story is usually told as the Swiss being fools who refused to believe in quartz. But Swiss companies also made quartz watches. Nicolas Hayek, co-founder of Swatch, turned Swiss quartz into a cheerful mass-market object. Swatch sold a hundred million of them in nine years.Â
At the high end, though, Swiss watchmakers did something interesting. They stopped pushing the mechanical watch on accuracy and turned the sheer difficulty of constructing it – the gears, springs, hand-finishing – into the reason to want one. The weakness of the old technology became part of its charm. At the top of the market, a machine for telling the time became closer to a small piece of mechanical art. A Harvard researcher named Ryan Raffaelli, who studied how this shift happened, files the revived mechanical watch alongside vinyl records and fountain pens. In 2000, Switzerland shipped 29.9 million watches worth CHF 9.3bn ($11.7bn). In 2025, it shipped 14.6 million worth CHF 24.4bn ($30bn): far fewer objects, far more value in each one. Audemars Piguet now earns more than Omega while making about a tenth as many watches.
Disruptors must transition from selling products that outperform to creating the historic milestones and memories that define their brand legacy.
The closer a brand sits to scarcity and history, the more room it has to turn old technology into a desired object. We also see this with cars. Ferrari sold 13,640 cars last year and has a higher market capitalization than the entire Volkswagen Group, which sold more than 4.73 million cars.
Today’s disruptors, such as Chinese carmakers, face the opposite problem. BYD and Xiaomi might be able to produce technical evidence faster than anyone in the industry’s history, but they cannot produce public memory, let alone love, at speed. To drive premium loyalty, disruptors must transition from selling products that outperform to creating the historic milestones and memories that define their brand legacy.
On my way out of the Petersen, there is a wall that asks visitors a question in large letters: “What do you love about cars?” A small boy had fallen asleep on a bench beside a one-off Italian show car, his mouth open, entirely uninterested. By the time he is old enough to answer that question, the car industry will have moved on. What unforgettable stories will transform today’s brands into icons for his generation? Â
LEGO® Professor of Management and Innovation
Howard Yu, hailing from Hong Kong, holds the title of LEGO® Professor of Management and Innovation at IMD. He leads the Center for Future Readiness, founded in 2020 with support from the LEGO Brand Group, to guide companies through strategic transformation. Recognized globally for his expertise, he was honored in 2023 with the Thinkers50 Strategy Award, recognizing his substantial contributions to management strategy and future readiness. At IMD, Howard Yu co-directs the Strategy for Future Readiness program and the Future-Ready Enterprise program, which is jointly offered with MIT.
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