Beyond the Familiar

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The case examines how a New York-based 10-year-old start-up, Lemonade Inc., successfully disrupted the insurance industry. Powered by artificial intelligence, Lemonade's mobile app replaced brokers and bureaucracy with bots and machine learning. The combination of simple product, no jargon, zero paperwork and an all-digital engagement allowed Lemonade to collapse costs, not at the expense of customer experience but to delight young customers with "instant everything" – from buying insurance in 90 seconds to getting claims paid in 3 seconds. Lemonade's notable milestones include surpassing $1 billion in in-force premiums in March 2025, a net loss ratio improvement from 97% in 2022 to 75% in 2025, and its first full year of positive adjusted free cash flow in 2024. Despite strong top-line growth, the company was yet to turn a profit, and its stock performance had been rocky. Lemonade posted a $202.2 million net loss in 2024, and its market capitalization stood at $4.2 billion in August 2025, significantly below its $9.8 billion peak in January 2021. Looking ahead, Lemonade aimed to increase in-force premiums tenfold, to $10 billion, by aggressively acquiring customers without significantly raising costs. As the stock regained market attention, bullish analysts highlighted ongoing progress toward profitability and improving loss ratios, whereas bearish analysts questioned the fundamentals behind the highly positive narrative presented by CEO Daniel Schreiber. A key question was whether the company could sustain its data- and AI-enabled competitive advantage or whether incumbents with deep pockets and growing technological investments would catch up. Against a backdrop of geopolitical tensions, uncertain macroeconomic conditions and increased competition, should institutional investors continue to invest in Lemonade or not?

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Chugai C focuses on the company's future as it celebrates its 100th anniversary in 2025. In 2021, Chugai launched its ambitious 'TOP I 2030' growth strategy, aiming to transition from Japan's top innovator to a global leader. The strategy sets two primary targets: doubling RD output and launching one in-house global product annually by 2030. These goals are supported by three key drivers: a RED SHIFT toward early-stage research, comprehensive Digital Transformation DX, and Open Innovation. The case examines the progress made and the significant challenges that lie ahead. These include intense competition from firms in China and India, technological disruption from AI-driven drug discovery, geopolitical risks and cultural barriers to attracting global talent. The central question posed is whether Chugai's proven model for success can sustain its bid for global leadership in an era of unprecedented market shifts.

Chugai B examines the pivotal strategic alliance formed in October 2002 between Chugai Pharmaceutical and Swiss giant Roche. Facing constraints in RD funding and global reach, Chugai's President Osamu Nagayama sought a partnership to achieve the firm's ambition of becoming Japan's number one pharmaceutical enterprise while preserving its autonomy. The case examines the unique business model by which Roche acquired a 50.1 equity stake while Chugai retained its management, public listing and corporate identity. This structure created a powerful synergy: Chugai gained exclusive rights to develop and market Roche's innovative products in Japan, while Roche leveraged Chugai's RD pipeline for its global distribution network. The case details how the alliance transformed Chugai from Japan's 10th largest pharma firm into its market leader in oncology and by market capitalization by 2024. It provides a rich context for analyzing how strategic partnerships can bridge resource gaps, foster a 'capability revolution,' and accelerate a company's path to becoming a global innovation powerhouse.

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