Sonaecom takeover of Portugal Telecom (A)

The case is set in February 2006, right after Sonaecom’s announcement of its takeover bid for Portugal Telecom (PT) of €9.50 per share. The reader does not yet know how PT will react and whether its management will accept the offer or not. The case recounts this fascinating and intense M&A transaction, taking us through one of the largest takeover bids ever in the European Telecom sector, with a deal value above €15 billion. How will PT’s board regard this bid? On the one hand, it represents a 20% premium over the prior stock price. On the other hand, it is a terrible blow to the international aspirations of the PT group. Moreover, the sometimes conflicting views of the general public, the competition regulator, employees and the government have the potential to complicate matters further. Lastly, this deal also has important international implications. One thing is sure. Given all the external pressure, for example from regulators, nothing will be the same for PT or the Sonae Group after this offer. The case serves as a rigorous application of valuation methodology with a focus on understanding the difficulties in forecasting future cash flows and the sensitivity of the valuation analysis to underlying assumptions.

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