“I found World War Trade to be particularly valuable, especially the discussion of “domino regionalism” and “pools of predictability”. These ideas are highly relevant for a country like Thailand as we navigate a rapidly changing international trading system. The next few years will be a critical window for Thailand to position itself more strategically within this emerging order.”
“Richard Baldwin reviews what has happened and suggests where it is all headed in World War Trade (Centre for Economic Policy Research, 2026). As Baldwin notes: “The working assumption is no longer that trade and investment are safe by default, underwritten by American leadership and Chinese growth. The new assumption is that while World War Trade may go quiet for long stretches, the weapons will remain deployed. The old assumption that globalization is ‘safe by default’ is gone, permanently.”
“Globalization is not dying. It is being rebuilt. When the United States and China weaponized trade in 2025, many feared the collapse of the global economy. Markets plunged, supply chains fractured, and policymakers spoke openly of economic warfare. But the collapse never came.
In his new book, World War Trade, published by the Centre for Economic Policy Research, Richard Baldwin argues that the real story is not the conflict between superpowers but how the rest of the world responded. Through quiet restraint, strategic adaptation, and a wave of new trade agreements, countries representing the majority of global commerce prevented a 1930s-style breakdown. What has emerged is a new kind of globalization: less centralized, less US-led, but still deeply interconnected—a system shaped not by design but by the self-organizing forces of politics, economics, and necessity.”
Globalization is not dying. It is being rebuilt.
When the US and China weaponized trade in 2025, many feared the collapse of the global economy. Markets plunged, supply chains fractured, and policymakers spoke openly of economic warfare.
But the collapse never came.
In World War Trade, Richard Baldwin argues that the real story is not the conflict between superpowers, but how the rest of the world responded. Through quiet restraint, strategic adaptation, and a wave of new trade agreements, countries representing the majority of global commerce prevented a 1930s-style breakdown.
What has emerged is a new kind of globalization: less centralized, less US-led, but still deeply interconnected. A system shaped not by design, but by the self-organizing forces of politics, economics, and necessity.
This book offers a new way to understand global trade in an age of rivalry, and a clear-eyed view of what comes next.
Download your free copy here:

Meet the author
Richard Baldwin
Professor of International Economics
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” World War Trade”
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