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The Great Trade Hack: How Trump’s trade war fails and global trade moves on

The Great Trade Hack by Richard Baldwin explains how Trump’s 2025 tariff blitz wasn’t economic strategy. It was grievance politics. Tariffs, Baldwin shows, are political placebos that won’t fix the U.S. economy but could fracture the global trade system. Blending sharp analysis with policy insight, he maps out three futures for world trade and u…

Economics Geopolitics
By Richard Baldwin
CEPR, Rapid Response Economics no. 5, 19 May 2025
The Great Trade Hack: How Trump’s trade war fails and global trade moves on
By Richard Baldwin
CEPR, Rapid Response Economics no. 5, 19 May 2025
Summary
The Great Trade Hack by Richard Baldwin explains how Trump’s 2025 tariff blitz wasn’t economic strategy. It was grievance politics. Tariffs, Baldwin shows, are political placebos that won’t fix the U.S. economy but could fracture the global trade system. Blending sharp analysis with policy insight, he maps out three futures for world trade and u…
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Available Languages English
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License to operate: Wall Street’s check on America first policy

On 12 May 2025, China and the United States released a joint statement that ended the recent escalation in tariffs. For 90 days each agreed to lower their tariffs by 115%. This only applies to import taxes imposed since 2 April 2025—all prior tariffs remain in force. China also agreed to suspend or remove “non-tariff countermeasures.” The partie…

Global Business Economics Geopolitics
By Simon J. Evenett
Global Trade Alert, Zeitgeist Series Briefing no. 65, 13 May 2025
License to operate: Wall Street’s check on America first policy
By Simon J. Evenett
Global Trade Alert, Zeitgeist Series Briefing no. 65, 13 May 2025
Summary
On 12 May 2025, China and the United States released a joint statement that ended the recent escalation in tariffs. For 90 days each agreed to lower their tariffs by 115%. This only applies to import taxes imposed since 2 April 2025—all prior tariffs remain in force. China also agreed to suspend or remove “non-tariff countermeasures.” The partie…
Copyright ©2025
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Available Languages English
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Research Information & Knowledge Hub for additional information on IMD publications

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IMD Smart City Index 2025

IMD produces a yearly Smart City Index offering a balanced focus on economic and technological aspects of smart cities on the one hand, and “humane dimensions” of smart cities (quality of life, environment, and inclusiveness) on the other. In this sixth edition, survey answers to the question “Is finding housing with rent equal to or less than 3…

Competitiveness Technology Management Innovation
By Arturo Bris, José Caballero, Christos Cabolis, Francesca De Nicola, Fabian Grimm and William Milner
IMD World Competitiveness Center Report, 8 April 2025
IMD Smart City Index 2025
By Arturo Bris José Caballero Christos Cabolis Francesca De Nicola Fabian Grimm and William Milner
IMD World Competitiveness Center Report, 8 April 2025
Summary
IMD produces a yearly Smart City Index offering a balanced focus on economic and technological aspects of smart cities on the one hand, and “humane dimensions” of smart cities (quality of life, environment, and inclusiveness) on the other. In this sixth edition, survey answers to the question “Is finding housing with rent equal to or less than 3…
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Available Languages English
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U.S. reciprocal tariffs & trading partner cost competitiveness

On 2 April 2025, the United States announced tariff increases on goods imports. Barring a few exceptions, the tariff increases faced by America’s trading partners vary from a minimum of 10% to a maximum of 50%. Those tariff rates were determined using a formula based on bilateral trade deficits and, critically, not on trading partner policy stan…

Global Business Economics
By Simon J. Evenett
Global Trade Alert, Zeitgeist Series Briefing no. 61, 7 April 2025
U.S. reciprocal tariffs & trading partner cost competitiveness
By Simon J. Evenett
Global Trade Alert, Zeitgeist Series Briefing no. 61, 7 April 2025
Summary
On 2 April 2025, the United States announced tariff increases on goods imports. Barring a few exceptions, the tariff increases faced by America’s trading partners vary from a minimum of 10% to a maximum of 50%. Those tariff rates were determined using a formula based on bilateral trade deficits and, critically, not on trading partner policy stan…
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Available Languages English
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Travel’s AI revolution: Balancing tech and touch

From AI-powered bookings to strategic technology investments, discover how top companies fuse AI with authentic experiences—and why loyalty is your ultimate defense against disruption.

Future Readiness Artificial Intelligence Technology Management Innovation
By Howard H. Yu, Jialu Shan, Alexandre Sonderegger, Lawrence Tempel, Yulia Maslova and Tianchen Li
IMD Center for Future Readiness Report, March 2025
Travel’s AI revolution: Balancing tech and touch
By Howard H. Yu Jialu Shan Alexandre Sonderegger Lawrence Tempel Yulia Maslova and Tianchen Li
IMD Center for Future Readiness Report, March 2025
Summary
From AI-powered bookings to strategic technology investments, discover how top companies fuse AI with authentic experiences—and why loyalty is your ultimate defense against disruption.
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Available Languages English
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Imminent U.S. tariffs on aluminium & steel derivative products would have covered $151 billion of imports in 2024

On 12 March 2025, new and expanded tariffs on aluminium, steel, and downstream “derivative” products come into force. This briefing shows that derivative products alone represented $151 billion of imports in 2024, with 27 foreign economies each having over $500 million of exports at risk. Tariffs on derivative products target parts for cars and …

Global Business Economics
By Simon J. Evenett and Johannes Fritz
Global Trade Alert, Zeitgeist Series Briefing no. 57, 6 March 2025
Imminent U.S. tariffs on aluminium & steel derivative products would have covered $151 billion of imports in 2024
By Simon J. Evenett and Johannes Fritz
Global Trade Alert, Zeitgeist Series Briefing no. 57, 6 March 2025
Summary
On 12 March 2025, new and expanded tariffs on aluminium, steel, and downstream “derivative” products come into force. This briefing shows that derivative products alone represented $151 billion of imports in 2024, with 27 foreign economies each having over $500 million of exports at risk. Tariffs on derivative products target parts for cars and …
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Available Languages English
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Canada and Mexico have retaliation options that shrink American take-home pay

Trade conflict is costly to all parties. Canadian and Mexican trade retaliation can deny tariff-related wins for American workers. Blunt retaliation could go so far as to eliminate all the take-home pay gains in 40 U.S. states and make whatever gains occur elsewhere barely noticeable. Tariff-induced higher prices are a further drag on American f…

Geopolitics Economics
By Simon J. Evenett and Marc-Andreas Mündler
3 March 2025, Global Trade Alert Report, cBrief 5: These Are Your People
Canada and Mexico have retaliation options that shrink American take-home pay
By Simon J. Evenett and Marc-Andreas Mündler
3 March 2025, Global Trade Alert Report, cBrief 5: These Are Your People
Summary
Trade conflict is costly to all parties. Canadian and Mexican trade retaliation can deny tariff-related wins for American workers. Blunt retaliation could go so far as to eliminate all the take-home pay gains in 40 U.S. states and make whatever gains occur elsewhere barely noticeable. Tariff-induced higher prices are a further drag on American f…
Copyright ©2025
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Available Languages English
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Research Information & Knowledge Hub for additional information on IMD publications

Report
Executing Trump’s campaign pledges on tariffs won’t restore manufacturing in the Rust Belt – or elsewhere for that matter

Many American politicians contend that Chinese imports delivered a blow to manufacturing jobs, especially in the Rust Belt states. President Trump wants to fix the employment loss by raising import tariffs. Simulating the job, wage, and inflation effects of his three most prominent campaign pledges for tariffs on the politically sensitive manufa…

Geopolitics Economics
By Simon J. Evenett and Marc-Andreas Mündler
20 January 2025, Global Trade Alert Report, cBrief 4: Game On
Executing Trump’s campaign pledges on tariffs won’t restore manufacturing in the Rust Belt – or elsewhere for that matter
By Simon J. Evenett and Marc-Andreas Mündler
20 January 2025, Global Trade Alert Report, cBrief 4: Game On
Summary
Many American politicians contend that Chinese imports delivered a blow to manufacturing jobs, especially in the Rust Belt states. President Trump wants to fix the employment loss by raising import tariffs. Simulating the job, wage, and inflation effects of his three most prominent campaign pledges for tariffs on the politically sensitive manufa…
Copyright ©2025
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Available Languages English
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Research Information & Knowledge Hub for additional information on IMD publications

Report
Access to the Chinese market: An obsolescing bargain?

With stagnant import volumes since 2021, and import prices at levels below those suggested by fundamentals, foreign exporters face an uphill battle to convert access to the Chinese market into revenues. Notably, the volume stagnation predates the recent growth pessimism in China, diverges markedly from emerging market peers in East Asia, and is …

China Global Business Competitiveness Economics
By Simon J. Evenett
Global Trade Alert, Zeitgeist Series Briefing no. 55, 16 December 2024
Access to the Chinese market: An obsolescing bargain?
By Simon J. Evenett
Global Trade Alert, Zeitgeist Series Briefing no. 55, 16 December 2024
Summary
With stagnant import volumes since 2021, and import prices at levels below those suggested by fundamentals, foreign exporters face an uphill battle to convert access to the Chinese market into revenues. Notably, the volume stagnation predates the recent growth pessimism in China, diverges markedly from emerging market peers in East Asia, and is …
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Available Languages English
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AI means that services will be the future of trade

World exports of goods and services enjoyed boomtime growth in the 1990s and early 2000s. Since 2008, trade in goods – specifically manufactured goods – have plateaued; services exports have not. Services trade continues to ride the go-go growth path it has been on since the 1990s.

Artificial Intelligence Economics Technology Management
By Richard Baldwin
The World Trade Organization Report / Trading with intelligence: How AI shapes and is shaped by international trade, p. 26 / 2024
AI means that services will be the future of trade
By Richard Baldwin
The World Trade Organization Report / Trading with intelligence: How AI shapes and is shaped by international trade, p. 26 / 2024
Summary
World exports of goods and services enjoyed boomtime growth in the 1990s and early 2000s. Since 2008, trade in goods – specifically manufactured goods – have plateaued; services exports have not. Services trade continues to ride the go-go growth path it has been on since the 1990s.
Copyright ©2024
Copyright owner External Copyright
Available Languages English
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Research Information & Knowledge Hub for additional information on IMD publications